FAILDEX失樂園
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Opendoor

The business, the turning points, and the decisions behind them.

Founded2014
Event year2022
FundingUS$1.5B
ValuationUS$20B

01 / WHAT IT BUILT

What the company did

Opendoor Technologies Inc., founded in 2014 by Eric Wu and others and headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, pioneered the 'iBuyer' model: it used algorithms to make instant cash offers on homes, buying thousands directly from sellers and reselling them within months. The company went public via a SPAC merger in December 2020 at a valuation near $8 billion, and in 2022 sold 39,183 homes across more than 50 markets.

02 / Opendoor FAILURE REASONS

Failure reasons

Opendoor's iBuying engine broke when the housing market turned in mid-2022: rising mortgage rates cooled demand, leaving the company holding homes bought at peak prices that it had to resell at losses - it lost an average of $28,000 per home sold in the fourth quarter. The model depended on buying low and selling high, but it had honored purchase contracts signed before rates spiked, and took a $458 million inventory valuation adjustment. The company also paid a $62 million FTC settlement in August 2022 after regulators found it misled home sellers about how much money they would make, and cut about 550 jobs (18% of staff) in November 2022.

03 / EVENT HISTORY

Events in the structured record

  1. Founded

    Opendoor was founded to digitize home buying and selling through instant cash offers (the iBuyer model).

  2. SPAC listing

    Opendoor went public via a merger with the SPAC Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings II, reaching a valuation of about $8 billion.

  3. Collapse

    In August 2022 the FTC fined Opendoor $62 million for misleading home sellers; in November 2022 it laid off about 550 employees (18% of staff); and for the full year it posted a GAAP net loss of $1.4 billion, double the $662 million loss of 2021, as it sold homes bought at peak prices at losses.

04 / CONTEMPORARY REBUILD ASSESSMENT

Difficulty of rebuilding this project today

Material for this section is being gathered and checked. It will appear here once ready.

Rebuild difficultyPending assessmentNot completed
Scoring basisNot completed
ScalabilityPending assessmentNot completed
Scoring basisNot completed

Overall assessment: Not completed

05 / CAUSAL CHAIN

How the factors connect

  1. 01

    Full-year 2022: revenue of $15.6 billion on 39,183 homes sold, gross profit of $667 million (after a $458 million inventory valuation adjustment), and a GAAP net loss of $1.4 billion.

  2. 02

    The company paid $62 million under an FTC consent order (announced August 1, 2022) to refund 54,689 homeowners, and cut about 550 jobs in November 2022 plus 830 earlier contractor positions.

  3. 03

    Opendoor survived and continued operating, but its shares fell more than 80% in 2022 and its valuation dropped to about $1.56 billion.